
A Sign of Just How Terrible the Winter’s Surge Was
In November, COVID-19 levels shot past the worst of the summer’s surge. Now they’re back below that threshold.


In November, COVID-19 levels shot past the worst of the summer’s surge. Now they’re back below that threshold.

Families will gather. Restaurants will reopen. People will travel. The pandemic may feel like it’s behind us—even if it’s not.

Every major pandemic indicator has been falling for weeks.

Four reasons: social distancing, seasonality, seroprevalence, and shots.

Cases are down 57 percent from the country’s all-time peak in early January, according to the COVID Tracking Project.

Hitting the threshold might actually be impossible. But vaccines can still help end the pandemic.

The case count in the U.S. hadn’t dipped that low since November.

New COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths all dropped this week.

This winter has been an extraordinarily quiet flu season. Scientists aren’t sure the silence will last.

Side effects are just a sign that protection is kicking in as it should.